The Real Trouble With Japanese Debt by 2008?

[stupidumboy]

[Qoute]
この国の破綻は４年後の２００８年までにくることが決定的になった 。
どうしてそんなこと言えるか？以下、お付き合い願いた い。
１９９８年は日本の景気を良くすべく大量の１０年債＝ １０年で返す借金札を
発行している（１９９９年も大量の国債を発行した）。
１０年債だからして２００８年はその国債を返済しなけ ればならない。
こんな場合、潤沢に資金あるなら「借り換え債」と言っ て、国債を再び買う
という動きになるのだけれど、あまりに金額が大きすぎ る。
どのくらいの金額かといえば、２００８年度の見込みで １４０兆円！　
当然赤字国債（２００４年度は４０兆程度）も加わるた め、
１８０兆以上の規模になること間違いなし。
いや、今の調子だと赤字国債は５０兆を超える可能性す らあります。
税収って４０兆しかないことを考えると、返済どころか 「そんな国債を誰が買う！」だ。
もはや「借金を返すため借金をする」という末期的なサ ラ金地獄みたいなもの。
経団連すら国債に関し極めて厳しい評価をしているから深刻。
タイトルこそ『魅力的で信頼される国債市場の発展に向 けて』とあるも、
中身を読めば「このままじゃアウトざんす」と書いてあ ります。
考えようによっちゃ今の腐った政治家や役人は最大４年 でオシマイになるからそれもいいか？　
逆に心ある政治家と役人は、破綻するまで耐えて欲しいと思う。
良い日本になるまで最大４年。早ければ２年。 その日に備えて頑張りましょう！



http://www.kunisawa.net/

[/Qoute]

I found this article from a Japanese written website.
Anybody have thought about Japanese governmental debt?


To say my opinion,Japan is over savings country ,in other words ,the surplus of capitals always happend after majority use of capitals for investment and spending on domestic market.
Therefore the surplus capitals should find out somewhere to go,they may go to the overseas or remained domestic economy whatever.

Not always surplus capitals tend to look out overseas for better profitable investment places , I still think the majority surplus capitals of Japanese people go to domestical investment places and the highest credit places might be Japanese postal office or national debts. I find no other place for those surplus capitals would be invested -do you guys have any better place if you were a Japanese people that hold surplus capitals after you buy every products you want and do not want to spend more.

So lets just focus on the capitals(of Japanese people) that invested in the Japanese postal service administrative or national debt that issued by the government.
The key as the most common sense people already know,the profit,but if the Japanese market price would go below zero,practical profit of invested capitals would be above zero.
There I can say it still makes profit.

If Japanese people can only see the negative things from the future ,they will just very pleased with preservation principal of their invested capitals.

By the way,I am not saying the debt of Japanese government does not matter at all,
Majority Japanese people are getting older and older therefore the day when the whole spending of the people surpasses the whole amount of savings in future-the national income by tax will decrease-thats why now the Koizumi cabinet all their efforts to reduce the spending of governmental budget.

Rise of tax and less spending of governmental budget would be unavoidable to clean up the minus balance of governmental finance though.

Major problems during the progress of cleaning up the minus governmental finance,maybe as most economists point out today-lowring demands for the economic growth.
So now the Koizumi cabinet's most important concernings is how to keep the balance between lowering demands and reducing governmental spending for the better finance.

Thats what most medias always report when they say Japanese economic probems recently.
so called Koizumi's structual reform plan is about that.